Thursday, July 9, 2009

June Same-Store Sales Roundup

An unusually rainy June combined with weak consumer confidence and a rise in U.S. unemployment, lead to the tenth consecutive month of weak same-store sales for U.S. retailers.

With the unemployment rate at a 26-year high of 9.5%, consumers choose to focus on necessities and discount items, forgoing discretionary purchases. This has retailers concerned about the upcoming back-to-school sales, which gives retailers a preview of what holiday sales will look like:
“You’re going to have a lot of the clearance stuff still on the floors, and that’s going to counteract any traction in the full-price merchandise for back-to-school,” Brian Sozzi (analyst at research firm Wall Street Strategies in New York) said today in a telephone interview. (Source: Bloomberg.com)
"It could be a very difficult back-to-school shopping season," Ken Perkins, Retail Metrics president said. "If that's the case, it's going to be a negative harbinger for what we see for the holidays." (Source: Reuters.com)
Here's the apparel retail June same-store sales roundup:

Macy's June same-store sales were down 8.9%, slightly under Wall Street estimates. Results were consistent with management expectations and the company's year-to-date sales trend.

Dillard's reported soft comp. sales for June, posting a decline of 14%. Analysts predicted a 10.4% drop in same-store sales.

June same-store sales for Limited Brands dropped 12%, coming below the company's expectations of a high single digits decline. Wall St. estimated a 7.9% loss. Semi-Annual sales at both Victoria's Secret and Bath & Body Works negatively impacted sales, along with higher promo activity prior to this year's sales events. V.P. of Investor Relations, Amie Preston, said the company expects July comp. sales to fall in the low double digits.

The biggest loser in the high-end/luxury sector was Abercrombie & Fitch, whose June same-store sales plummeted a whopping 32%. Analysts projected comps. would decline 26.6%. Pressure from lower-priced competitors Aeropostle and Buckle has forced A&F to reconsider its stance against lowering prices according to The Wall Street Journal.

Nordstrom beat analysts' estimates, reporting a 10% drop in June same-store sales.

One of the biggest surprises was Saks Fifth Avenue which, after six consecutive months of same-store sales losses in the high double digits, beat analysts' estimates by posting a 4.4% percent dip in June comp. sales compared to their predictions of a 11.8% decline. But don't break out the bubbly just yet. The low sales drop was due to the company's shift of their designer sales event from May to June. So, once again, it's all about the big discount, much to Saks' chagrin.

Neiman Marcus June same-store sales fell 20.8% with the company experiencing weakness across all geographies and merchandise categories.

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